Showing posts with label Diversification. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Diversification. Show all posts

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Week in Review: Markets rise on slightly upbeat earnings and economic news


For the week ended January 20, 2012


Markets were positive overall as talks between the Greek government and the Institute of International Finance continued Friday in an effort to cut a deal that would substantially lower Greece’s debt payments to private-sector creditors. U.S. economic news was modestly encouraging, as jobless numbers fell, U.S. price indices stayed fairly flat, and home sales improved somewhat. The Chinese economy showed signs of slowing, while German economic sentiment rebounded.

A steady stream of corporate earnings reports were mixed. Many reflected the challenges faced by large U.S. banks. Others, including earnings results from U.S. technology giants, were more encouraging. Stocks rose overall globally, and U.S. Treasury yields rose as demand for the safe-haven securities eased, reflecting improved investor sentiment.

U.S. and global economic news

Greek debt deal loomsDiscussions between the Greek government and private sector creditors continued for a third day Friday, ahead of efforts to complete a second rescue package for the troubled country. With a potential bailout in the works for next week, time is critically important. A senior delegation from the International Monetary Fund, European Central Bank, and European Union arrived in Athens Friday to discuss the rescue package. Next Monday, European finance ministers will meet in Brussels to work out their portion of the next Greek bailout, forecast at €130 billion.




Weekly U.S. jobless claims drop by 50,000Initial jobless claims fell by 50,000 to a seasonally adjusted 352,000 in the week ending January 21, decreasing the four-week average by 3,500 to 379,000. Both numbers are well below the 400,000 mark, widely viewed as indicative of the U.S. economy adding jobs overall.


U.S. housing market improves slightly, misses expectationsSales of U.S. existing homes rose 5.0% in December from November, the third straight monthly increase, according to the National Association of Realtors. However, the results fell short of a forecast of 5.2% growth. For all of 2011, 1.7% more homes sold than in 2010. Overall, 4.26 million homes were sold last year, down from a peak of more than 7 million in 2005.




Consumer, producer inflation tameReadings on U.S. producer and consumer prices, released by the U.S. Department of Labor, showed little month-to-month change in December. The producer price index fell 0.1% in December from November on lower food and energy costs. However, core prices, stripping of food and energy, rose 0.3%. For the year, producer prices rose 4.8%. The consumer price index was unchanged in December, and increased 3.0% for the year. The core CPI edged up 0.1% for the month and rose 2.2% for all of 2011.




Chinese economy and manufacturing gauge slipChina’s gross domestic product grew 8.9% in the final quarter of 2011 compared with a year earlier, a higher-than-expected growth rate but an indication of a slowdown for the world’s fastest economic engine. On a quarterly basis, China’s GDP growth was 8.2%. A separate report showed that China’s manufacturing purchasing managers index stood at 48.8, just below the threshold of 50 that separates growth from contraction. This was the third straight month of declining manufacturing activity in China.




German economic sentiment index has record riseGermany’s latest ZEW monthly economic sentiment index rose to -21.6 in January from -53.8 in December, the single largest monthly increase since the survey’s inception in 1991. Germany also paid the lowest interest rate ever on two-year Treasury notes Wednesday, 0.17%, as debt downgrades on France and Austria last Friday made German debt more appealing.


Germany cuts growth forecastThe German government cut its economic forecast for 2012 for the second time in recent months. Currently, Germany expects its economy to grow 0.7%, down from 1.0% in October, which was a reduction from its original 1.8% projection for the year.

U.S. and global corporate news

Kodak files for bankruptcyFollowing through on its rumored move, Eastman Kodak filed for bankruptcy protection after running short of cash. The photography icon has secured close to $1 billion in financing from Citigroup to help keep it in business through its bankruptcy proceedings. Kodak is hoping to improve liquidity, sell some of its patent portfolio, and shed some legacy liabilities, including pension and health care obligations.


Goldman-Sachs reported a 58% drop in fourth-quarter profit on a slump in investment-banking revenue and trading activity, as many of the firm’s individual and corporate clients remain leery about investment prospects.


Morgan Stanley swung from a quarterly profit of $871 million a year ago to a loss of $227 million in the fourth quarter of 2011 because of weakness in its institutional securities business as well as a large legal settlement with bond insurer MBIA. Revenue in Morgan Stanley’s institutional business fell by 42%.
Bank of America had better-then-expected results, posting a profit just shy of $2 billion, as weaknesses in trading (profits down 73%) and investment banking (fees 34% lower) were more than offset by large one-time asset sales. These sales included divestiture of a major interest in China Construction Bank and some Canadian credit card operations.


Citigroup’s profit fell 11% from a year earlier, and its revenue slipped by 7%. The global bank is aggressively cutting costs but has been challenged by weak capital markets, as equity underwriting, trading, and advisory revenue fell.


BlackRock’s profit declined 16% as the number-one global money manager by assets saw a shrinkage in assets under management, investment advisory fees, and securities lending revenue. BlackRock’s overall revenue fell 11%.


Wells Fargo, the largest U.S. consumer lender, reported a 20% increase in its fourth-quarter profit on improvements in its consumer loan portfolio and limited exposure to investment banking.


Tech bellwether Intel has strong quarterIntel posted a 5.7% gain in fourth-quarter earnings as the technology bellwether’s business withstood tougher competitive pressures and economic constraints in Europe and China. Intel’s revenue rose 21% on strong demand from a number of its business divisions.


Google’s 7% profit growth disappointsSearch engine giant Google posted weaker-than-expected earnings results despite a 7% profit growth and 25% rise in revenue from its year-earlier period. These numbers were down sharply from its third-quarter results of a 26% profit growth and 33% gain in revenue.


IBM software success offsets hardware weaknessIBM grew its fourth-quarter earnings 4.4% as gains in software and services revenue offset a slowdown in its hardware business.


Microsoft flat profit beats expectationsSoftware giant Microsoft profited from strength in its Office program suite and Xbox gaming system to outweigh weakness in its Windows operating system. For its second fiscal quarter, ended December 31, Microsoft’s overall earnings were down by the slightest margin, to $6.62 billion from $6.63 billion.


GE profit slides 18%General Electric’s fourth-quarter earnings fell 18% on a decline in revenue after it sold its majority stake in NBC Universal. However, GE’s industrial business saw infrastructure orders grow 15% from a year earlier. Revenue shrank 7.9% overall.


Japanese group to pay $7.3 billion for RBS aircraft leasing businessA group of Japanese companies, headed by Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, has agreed to buy the Royal Bank of Scotland’s aircraft leasing business for $7.3 billion, the British bank’s largest divestiture since being bailed out three years ago. The British government holds an 82% interest in RBS.

The week ahead

  • McDonald’s and Apple announce their quarterly earnings on Tuesday, January 24.
  • Boeing releases its earnings on Wednesday, January 25.
  • Germany’s Ifo survey is released on Wednesday, January 25.
  • The National Association of Realtors announces its pending home sales on Wednesday, January 25.
  • The Conference Board releases its monthly leading economic indicators on Thursday, January 26.
  • The U.S. Department of Commerce publishes its durable goods orders report on Thursday, January 26.
  • Ford releases its earnings on Thursday, January 26.
  • The U.S. Labor Department releases its initial estimate for fourth- quarter GDP on Friday, January 27.

Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk.

Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.


Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

--see disclaimer below--

Friday, September 2, 2011

Week in Review: Stagnant jobs situation troubles markets


U.S. and global economic news


U.S. job growth fizzlesU.S. employment stagnated in August, with no job growth, according to the monthly nonfarm payroll report released by the Labor Department Friday morning. It was the first time in 11 months there was no net increase in U.S. jobs. The disappointing news, however, was influenced by the 45,000 Verizon workers who were out of work because they were on strike at the time the report was compiled. Still, the report's employment picture fell far short of the 60,000- to 65,000-job gain that had been anticipated by economists, and the U.S. unemployment rate remained at 9.1%. 

More significantly, the weak showing reflected a lack of confidence among U.S. employers following the debt-ceiling showdown in Washington, the S&P downgrade of U.S. debt, the plummeting stock market, and ongoing concerns about Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. While the report conveyed a flat employment picture, it did indicate an increase of 17,000 jobs in the private sector.



ADP reports 91,000 more private sector jobsPrivate businesses added 91,000 jobs in August, on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to a report released by payroll giant Automatic Data Processing (ADP) and Macroeconomic Advisers, a consultancy. Almost all the hiring occurred at small businesses (a gain of 58,000) and medium-size businesses (30,000 new jobs). Businesses with 500 or more employees added only 3,000 jobs.


U.S. manufacturing growth stays surprisingly strongU.S. manufacturing activity grew slightly in August, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s factory index, which fell slightly to 50.6 from 50.9 in July. Economists had expected a drop to 48.5.


Weekly jobless claims ease slightly in United StatesInitial claims for unemployment benefits by U.S. workers fell by 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 409,000 in the week ended August 27, according to the Labor Department. However, the four-week moving average of new claims rose by 1,750 to 410,250.



Consumer confidence indices slipU.S. consumers lost confidence in August, according to several confidence gauges. The Conference Board’s index of consumer confidence dropped to 44.5 from 59.2 in July, its lowest reading since April 2009. The survey also showed that consumers expect inflation to rise to 5.8% in the next 12 months. Bloomberg’s Consumer Confidence Index fell to -49.1 from -47.0 in July, its second lowest level in two years. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer confidence in August slipped to its lowest level since November 2008.


Consumer spending rose in JulyU.S. consumers spent more than expected in July, on the basis of a report from the U.S. Department of Commerce, which showed that consumer spending rose 0.8%, the largest gain in five months. Income rose 0.3%, and the savings rate slowed to 5.0% from 5.5% in June, a trend that suggests a rise in confidence about the economy.


Eurozone confidence fadesEconomic confidence among Eurozone businesses and consumers fell in August. The Economic Sentiment Indicator declined for the sixth-straight month, to 98.3 in August from 103.0 in July, the European Commission reported. It was the weakest reading since March 2010 and far below the 100.5 expected by economists. The consumer confidence index slid to -16.5 from -11.2, its largest one-month decline since 1990. In a separate report, Eurostat, the European Union statistics office, reported that inflation remained at 2.5% in August and unemployment stood unchanged at 10.0% in July.



Global manufacturing activity slumpsManufacturing activity slumped across much of the world in August, according to various reports. Manufacturing in the Eurozone contracted, U.K. factory activity hit a two-year low, and a Chinese manufacturing index straddled the line between expansion and contraction, at 50.9, just above its 29-month low recorded in July. South Korea’s purchasing managers' index fell into negative territory, to 49.7 from 51.3 in July.



German economic resilience a positive sign for EuropeBullish reports from Germany indicate that Europe’s largest and strongest economy continues to grow. Unemployment remained at its lowest level in two decades in August as unemployment fell for the twenty-sixth consecutive month. The unemployment rate remained at 7%, its lowest level since German reunification in 1991. Machine orders grew 9% in July from a year earlier.


Canadian economy shrinksCanada’s economic output shrank unexpectedly in the second quarter, its first contraction in two years. Canada depends heavily on international trade and has been hurt by the U.S. and European economic slowdown. Canadian GDP declined 0.1% in the second quarter, for an annualized 0.4% contraction. Among the G-7 nations, only Japan and Canada had a contraction in economic activity in the second quarter.

U.S. and global corporate news

U.S. auto sales riseSales rose in August for U.S. car manufacturers. Chrysler Group reported a 31% jump in sales, while General Motors and Nissan Motor each reported close to a 20% increase and Ford Motor had an 11% gain. Because of a slow recovery in production after the March tsunami, Japan’s Honda Motor and Toyota Motor reported decreases in U.S. sales of 24.3% and 12.7%, respectively.




U.S. Justice Department a hard sell on merger
The U.S. Department of Justice filed an antitrust lawsuit to block a proposed $39-billion merger between AT&T and T-Mobile USA, saying that it would substantially decrease competition, lead to higher prices, and reduce product innovation.

Bombardier profit soarsCanada’s transportation giant Bombardier posted a 53% jump in second-quarter profit as revenue grew in both its aerospace and transportation divisions.

The week ahead

  • The European Union reports its quarterly gross domestic product data on Tuesday, September 6.
  • The U.S. Federal Reserve Board releases its "Beige Book," providing commentary on current economic conditions, on Wednesday, September 7.
  • Germany, France, the U.K., Canada, and Australia release their monthly trade figures next week.
  • The U.S. Commerce Department releases its trade balance data for August on Thursday, September 8.
  • The U.S. Labor Department publishes its weekly report on unemployment insurance claims on Thursday, September 8.
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.


Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

Monday, August 1, 2011

Week in Review: Unresolved U.S. debt drama weighs on markets - Week ending July 29, 2011


Global economic news


U.S. economy barely expands in second quarterThe U.S. economy grew anemically in the second quarter. Gross domestic product grew at an annualized, seasonally adjusted pace of 1.3%, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported. The rate of growth in the first quarter was revised downward, to 0.4% from the earlier estimate of 1.9%. Economists had expected the GDP to rise 1.8% in the second quarter. Consumer spending rose at an annualized 0.1% rate, its weakest level in two years.

Spain on review for debt downgradeMoody's Investors Service placed Spain's "Aa2" credit rating on review for a possible downgrade. The yield on Spain's 10-year government bond rose 1.7 percentage points to 6.136%, widening the spread between Spanish sovereign debt and similar German debt to 354.2 basis points. This underscores the financial strain the second Greek bailout package is having on other financially weak European countries.

U.S. jobless claims fall to 398,000Initial jobless claims fell by 34,000 to 398,000 for the week ended July 23, below the 400,000 level, which generally indicates an economy with overall job growth. The four-week average fell by 8,500 to 413,750.

Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index fallsThe Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index decreased to 58.8 in July, from 61.1 in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management. A reading of 60.2 had been expected. Readings above 50 indicate an expanding business sector. 

U.S. home sale contracts rise in JuneThe number of contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes surprisingly rose in June, as buyers were attracted to lower house prices and lower borrowing costs. The 2.4% rise in pending home sales followed a gain of 8.2% in May. Because of high cancellation rates, however, its difficult to gauge whether this will lead to higher home sales.

May home prices flatU.S. home prices rose in May from April but remained below year-earlier levels. The Case-Shiller index of 10 major metropolitan areas rose 1.1% and the 20-city index was 1% higher in May than a month earlier. Year to year, prices for the two indexes were down 3.6% and 4.5%, respectively.

Durable-goods orders dropDurable-goods orders fell by 2.1% in June, the second decline in three months, pointing to ongoing economic sluggishness, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

Consumer confidence gets mixed readingU.S. consumer confidence rose in July, according to the Conference Board. Its monthly index of consumer confidence rose to 59.5 from 57.6 in June. However, the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell to -46.8 in the week ended July 24, from a reading of -43.3 the previous week. The Reuters/University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 63.7 in July from 71.5 in June.

Eurozone confidence dipsBusinesses and consumers in the eurozone grew less confident about their prospects in July, according to the Economic Sentiment Index, the European Commission’s monthly survey of economic confidence. The measure dropped to 103.2 from 105.4 in June. It was the ESI’s fifth-straight monthly decline.

U.K. consumer confidence fallsConsumer confidence in the U.K., already sagging, fell further in July. A sentiment index fell to -30, its lowest point since April, from -25 in June and -22 a year earlier. All components of the index fell. The U.K. economy grew a meager 0.2% in the second quarter after being flat for the previous half year.

India fights inflation with higher interest rates
The Reserve Bank of India, the country’s central bank, raised interest rates by 0.5 percentage points to 8.0%, its eleventh increase since March 2010. Indian inflation reached 9.44% in June.

German inflation creeps higherConsumer prices rose 0.4% in Germany in July, and 2.4% from a year earlier. Because Germany is dependent on the European Central Bank (ECB) for monetary policy and the ECB must also watch out for weak European economies, Germany may have to accept rising inflation for now.

Global corporate news

UPS delivers higher profitsGlobal shipping firm United Parcel Service posted a 26% growth in second-quarter profit on strength in China and Europe. UPS said it expects robust profit growth on international routes in the coming months. 

European carmakers outpace American rivalsGerman auto maker Daimler and France’s PSA Peugeot-Citroen both announced healthy profit increases this week, while Ford’s profit fell andChrysler posted a loss for the second quarter. Peugeot reported a 19% rise in profit for the first half of 2011 despite the impact of the Japanese earthquake and tsunami and the production interruption that created. Daimler had a 29% rise in second-quarter net profit on thriving demand for new trucks and luxury cars in many major global markets. Ford’s profit was trimmed by spending on new-model development and higher prices for commodities. Chrysler’s loss was due to a $551 million one-time charge to repay loans to the United States and Canadian governments. 

Higher prices boost oil giants’ profitsRoyal Dutch Shell, British Petroleum, and Exxon all benefited from higher oil prices in the quarter ending June 30. BP bounced back from a $17-billion loss a year ago, stemming from a $32-billion charge to cover costs of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, to a second-quarter net profit of $5.62 billion this year. Total revenue rose 39% in the quarter. Shell’s profits rose to $8.7 billion from $4.4 billion a year ago. Exxon’s net income was $10.7 billion, up from $7.6 billion a year ago.

RIM, Nokia and Nintendo show impact of losses to AppleResearch in Motion, Nokia, and Nintendo continue to struggle in the face of very tough competition from Apple and Google in the smart phone space. Research in Motion announced a plan to cut 2,000 jobs, 11% of its workforce, as the BlackBerry maker struggles with shrinking market share of North American smart phone sales. Nokia’s debt was downgraded two notches, to "Baa2" from "A3," by Moody’s Investor Service, reflecting the sharp deterioration of Nokia’s market position. Apple and Samsung Electronics overtook Nokia for the top two positions in the global smartphone market in the second quarter, according to market research firm Strategy Analytics. Nintendo cut its profit forecast for the year ending next March by more than 80% as its 3DS hand-held player has been hurt by gamers’ appetite for games that can be played online or on smart phones, including Apple’s iPhone.

Dunkin’ Donuts serves up IPO, coffee competition to heat upThe hunger for initial public offerings continued this week, with 11 IPOs, including an offering from Dunkin’ Donuts that raised $423 million, and will promote the franchiser’s growth.

The Week Ahead
  • Pfizer, Comcast, MasterCard, Prudential, and Time Warner report earnings next week.
  • The European Monetary Union releases its unemployment report on Monday, August 1.
  • The ADP monthly employment report is released on Wednesday, August 3.
  • The Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index is released on Thursday, August 4.
  • The U.S. nonfarm payroll report and U.K. producer price index are released on Friday, August 5. 
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News;Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

Monday, June 13, 2011

Week in Review ended June 10, 2011: Stocks fall as investors question strength of economic recovery

Global economic news

U.S. trade deficit narrows; China's surplus less than expectedThe U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed amid record exports and a plunge in auto and oil imports. The gap shrank 6.7% to $43.7 billion, the lowest since December. Purchases of goods from Japan dropped by a record $3 billion in the aftermath of the earthquake and tsunami. Stocks rallied after the news, on hopes that trade would help boost economic growth. Meanwhile, China reported a less-than-expected $13.1 billion trade surplus in May as surging imports signaled that the nation's demand may support global growth while adding pressure for higher interest rates.

ECB signals rate increase; BOE keeps rates on holdThe European Central Bank signaled it is likely to raise interest rates in July. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said "strong vigilance" is needed to contain inflation. The bank raised rates in April for the first time in nearly three years and was the fifth major central bank in the developed world to begin raising rates from the lowest levels of the financial crisis. The Bank of England meanwhile kept its main rate at 0.5% for the twenty-seventh month in a row. Eurozone inflation was running at 2.7% in May, well above the ECB's target of just under 2%.

Bank of Korea raises rates; Indonesia rates unchangedThe Bank of Korea raised interest rates for a third time this year to rein in inflation, which has exceeded its target range, and to curb record household debt. The bank increased the benchmark seven-day repurchase rate to 3.25% from 3%. Korea's rate increase followed one by Thailand on June 1, as job growth and costlier energy caused consumer price gains to exceed the Bank of Korea's 4% ceiling. That was Thailand's fourth rate increase this year. Also this week, the Bank of Indonesia left its reference rate at 6.75%, as a strengthening currency helped contain inflation.

ECB opposes Greek bailoutThe European Central Bank this week maintained its resistance to participating in a bailout of Greece. The Greek budget shortfall may amount to $130 billion through 2014. Governments have been trying to come up with a new aid package by a European summit on June 23 to June 24. The International Monetary Fund has threatened to withhold its share of Greece's bailout until governments that guarantee the financing needs for the next 12 months are covered. The IMF was due to turn over €3.3 billion this month.

Japan's GDP contracts 3.5%Japan's economy contracted 3.5% in the three months ended March 31, less than the 3.7% contraction reported last month. The better-than-expected number is seen as a sign that the economic slump caused by the earthquake was not as deep as expected. An upward revision in inventories helped limit the depth of the downturn. Producer prices in the country rose for an eighth month in May, in line with the rise in energy and raw material costs. Prices companies pay for energy and unfinished goods rose 2.2% from a year earlier. On a more upbeat note, an index of the current business conditions, released by Japan's Cabinet Office, rose to 36 in May from 28.3 in April. However, readings under 50 indicate more pessimism than optimism.

Eurozone economy grows 0.8%The eurozone economy grew 0.8% in the first quarter, up from 0.3% in the previous three months, according to the European Union's statistics office Eurostat. In year-on-year terms, GDP growth was 2.5%, up from 1.9% in the last three months of 2010. Investment, as well as household and government consumption, drove growth in the first quarter. On the flip side, European industrial orders declined more than expected in March, led by a drop in demand for durable consumer goods. Orders fell 1.8% from February. The drop suggests that the eurozone recovery may struggle to gather strength after having expanded at a solid pace in the first quarter.

U.S. jobless claims riseInitial jobless claims unexpectedly increased last week, rising 1,000 to 427,000 in the week ended June 4. The numbers indicate that the labor market is still struggling.

Global corporate news

Toyota forecasts 31% profit drop
Toyota Motor forecast a 31% drop in annual profit after Japan's earthquake disrupted production and sales while the yen strengthened. The company said net income may fall to ¥280 billion in the 12 months ending March 31, 2012, from the¥408 billion that was expected by analysts.

J. Crew posts Q1 lossJ. Crew posted a loss for its fiscal first quarter because of costs related to its March buyout — the company was taken private in early March in a $3 billion acquisition by a group of investors. In addition, the apparel retailer's bottom line was hurt by markdowns and promotions.


The week ahead

  • On Tuesday, June 14, the U.S. Department of Commerce releases retail sales for May and business inventories for April. The U.S. Department of Labor reports its Producer Price Index.
  • Also on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan completes its two-day policy meeting.
  • On Wednesday, June 15, the Labor Department releases its Consumer Price Index for May and the U.S. Federal Reserve Board releases its reports on industrial production.
  • On Thursday, the Labor Department releases weekly jobless claims, and the Commerce Department reports data on housing starts for May.
  • On Friday, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment is released.
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News;Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

Monday, May 23, 2011

Stocks end last week flat as investors eye lackluster data and earnings disappointments

Global economic news

Mixed U.S. economic data worry investorsIn the United States a government report showed a larger-than-expected drop in jobless claims. The report bolstered optimism about the economy. However, other reports were less favorable. Manufacturing growth in the Philadelphia region unexpectedly declined in May to the slowest pace in seven months. New home construction fell 10.6% in April from March. Construction of homes and apartments dropped 10.6% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 523,000 compared with a month earlier, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. From the same month a year ago, home starts are down 23.9%.

BOJ maintains monetary policyThe Bank of Japan voted to maintain its monetary policy — a ¥30 trillion credit program and a ¥10 trillion asset purchase fund and to keep its key overnight rate at zero to 0.1%. The BOJ kept the policy intact despite reports earlier in the week that showed Japan's economy contracted at a much-worse-than-expected 3.7% annualized rate in the January-March period. That decline tipped the country into a recession as the March 11 earthquake and tsunami caused declines in consumer spending, business investment, and private sector inventories.

BOE leaves rates unchangedThe Bank of England left interest rates unchanged this month with the majority of policymakers warning that tightening policy now could damp consumer spending and hurt the recovery. In the May 5 minutes of the bank's monetary policy committee meeting released Wednesday, members said an increase could adversely affect consumer confidence, which has been adversely affected by government spending cuts and accelerating inflation. Underlining the fragile nature of the recovery, U.K. unemployment claims have risen at the fastest pace since January 2010. Unemployment fell 36,000 to 2.46 million people in the quarter through March.

Global corporate news

Moody's downgrades debt of Australia's largest banksMoody's Investors Services downgraded the debt ratings of Australia's largest lenders to "Aa2" from their previous rating of "Aa1," one notch below Moody's top rating. The downgrade comes as ratings firms worldwide step up reviews of the global banking system following the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis and subsequent backlash against the ratings industry.

LinkedIn's stocks soars after IPOLinkedIn's stock soared to a high of $122.70 on its first day of trading. The professional networking company's IPO priced at $45 per share a day earlier.

Gap slashes year outlookThe Gap slashed its full-year earnings outlook and reported that its net income fell 23% to $233 million for the quarter ended April 30. The company attributed its results to faster-than-expected cost increases; the Gap said it is spending about 20% more than a year ago on each item it plans to sell.

TEPCO reports ¥1.27 trillion lossTokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) sustained a net loss of ¥1.27 trillion for the fiscal year ended in March after incurring massive costs to battle the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident. The company warned of a significant deterioration of its financial position and raised doubts about its ability to continue as a "going concern."

Liberty Media in bid to buy Barnes & NobleLiberty Media proposed to buy Barnes & Noble for $1 billion. Barnes & Noble, the largest bookstore chain, put itself up for sale last summer but has struggled to find a buyer amid a deteriorating outlook for booksellers.

The week ahead:

  • The U.S. Census Bureau reports April new home sales on Tuesday, May 24.
  • The Commerce Department reports U.S. personal income and spending on Friday, May 27.
  • The University of Michigan and Thomson Reuters releases its University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday, May 27.
  • The eurozone reports purchasing managers' indices for manufacturing and services on Monday, May 23.
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk.

Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

-see disclaimer below--

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Week in Review: Markets calm as economic recovery offsets political uncertainties

Global economic news

U.S. budget battle showdown down to wireWith high stakes and credibility on the line, and facing a firm deadline of midnight Friday, Democrats and Republicans in the U.S. Congress kept negotiating the 2011 federal budget overnight Thursday into Friday morning. At issue: proposed spending cuts of $33 billion to $40 billion and political differences on various issues. At stake: shutting down all-but-essential government services, furloughing 800,000 federal employees, and cutting off paychecks to workers. Among many ripple effects: suspending government mortgage loan guarantees to lower-income families, closing national parks and leaving tourist industry workers without pay, and stopping government economic data collection. A 20-day government shutdown in late 1995 reportedly cut economic growth by a full percentage point in that quarter.


U.S. jobless claims shrink furtherThe number of new claims for unemployment benefits fell by 10,000 to 382,000 during the week ended April 2, marking the seventh decrease in 10 weeks. The four-week average fell by 5,750 to 389,500.


U.S. service sector growth easesThe U.S. nonmanufacturing sector grew in March, but at a slower pace than February, according to the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM nonmanufacturing purchasing managers’ index fell to 57.3 from 59.7 in February.


March retail sales strongAmerican consumers spent more freely in March, allowing retailers – from discounters to sellers of luxury brands -– to post strong sales figures. A group of 25 retailers tracked by Thomson Reuters posted a 1.7% rise in same-store sales in March. Costco reported a 13% rise in same-store sales, while Victoria Secret’s parent firm Limited Brands increased sales by 14%. Higher-end retailers Saks and Nordstrom also had robust results. Target, Kohl’s, and JC Penney were among the retail chains with declining same-store sales.


ECB raises interest ratesThe European Central Bank raised its benchmark interest rate on Thursday by 0.25 percentage points, as was widely anticipated. The ECB must walk a fine line, between controlling inflation, already at a 2.6% annual rate last month, and not creating obstacles to economic recovery for troubled eurozone member countries Greece, Ireland, and Portugal.



China raises interest rates for fourth time; inflation still highChina’s central bank raised interest rates for the fourth time in six months in its latest effort to tame inflation and stop the world’s fastest-growing economy from overheating. Consumer prices in China rose 4.9% in February while producer prices were 7.2% higher. Even with tighter controls in place, many economists cited in The New York Times see China’s economy growing 9% in 2011 with a 3% annual inflation rate.


Portuguese government to receive bailout packageThe Portuguese government is seeking financial assistance from the European Union as it strives to regain solid financial footing. A package worth €90 billion ($129 billion) is being worked on involving the European Commission, European Central Bank, and International Monetary Fund. It could take several weeks to work out an austerity program that would accompany the bailout. Portugal is the third nation in the eurozone, after Greece and Ireland, to ask for a bailout.


Portuguese debt downgrade led to rising yieldsPortugal’s debt rating continued to plummet and its government bond yields soared this week after Moody’s Investor Service downgraded Portugal’s long-term bonds by one level, to "Baa1" from "A3." Standard & Poor’s lowered its rating for Portuguese debt by three notches in two cuts in the last couple of weeks. The Portuguese government paid an average yield of 5.117% on six-month Treasury bills at an auction on Wednesday, compared with 2.984% at a March 2 auction. The average yield on 12-month Portuguese Treasury bills rose to 5.902%, from 4.441% on March 16.


Japanese business confidence fallsJapanese business sentiment is sagging after March’s devastating earthquake and tsunami, according to a quarterly survey released Monday by Japan’s central bank. Sentiment went from a reading of plus 3 before the earthquake to minus 2 afterwards. Economists believe overall industrial production slumped by 10% in March compared with February and the economic fallout could continue for months. Meanwhile, a so-called "economy watchers survey" that regularly questions hotel and restaurant workers, barbers, and tax drivers on economic sentiment fell to 27.7 in March from a reading of 48.4 in February.


Toyota, Japanese airlines to resume activityToyota said it would resume limited production from April 18 to 27 at its Japanese plants, where half of all its vehicles sold globally are built. Japan’s major airlines plan to restart flights to the Sendai airport, which had shut downs after the March 11 tsunami.


Eurozone business growth eases slightlyPrivate-sector growth in the eurozone eased a bit in March, according to a survey released this week by financial information firm Markit. Its eurozone composite output index eased to 57.6 from 58.2 in February. Any reading above 50 indicates economic growth.


German manufacturing orders, industrial production riseGerman manufacturing orders were 2.4% higher in February than January, as domestic and eurozone demand improved. This adds to a 3.1% increase in January orders. Meanwhile, German industrial production rose 1.6% in February from January and 14.8% from February 2010, another strong sign of economic recovery in Germany.

Global corporate news

TI chips in $6.5 billion for National SemiconductorTexas Instruments offered $6.5 billion in cash to buy its rival semiconductor chipmaker National Semiconductor. The bid represented a 78% premium over National’s stock price at the time of the bid, indicating how highly TI values National’s niche of making chips based on analog technology that are used in cell-phone radio signals and in the management of power consumption in computers.


Bombardier profits take offCanadian plane, train and snowmobile maker Bombardier rode a big pickup in business-jet orders to much higher fourth-quarter earnings. The Montreal-based firm almost tripled its net aerospace orders in its latest quarter while selling 10 times as many business aircraft as a year earlier, propelling its profits 82% higher than the year-earlier quarter.



Bite taken out of Apple’s size on Nasdaq 100Apple will have a large bite taken out of its weighting on the closely tracked Nasdaq 100 Index as part of a large and rare rebalancing of the index on May 2. After the rebalancing, Apple will make up 12% of the Nasdaq 100 versus 20% today. The rebalancing was partly driven by Apple’s meteoric rise, as the firm’s shares have grown more than fourfold in two years, causing Apple to have too great an impact on one of the most heavily traded stock indices. More than $330 billion of assets track the Nasdaq 100 through ETFs, mutual funds, options, and futures.


KB Home loss grows on weak home salesHome builder KB Home saw its first-quarter loss more than double from a year earlier on falling orders and a substantial decrease in revenue. Deliveries fell 28% and net orders were 32% lower. The year-over-year comparison was unfavorable partly because of the temporary boost provided by last year’s federal tax credit for homebuyers.


Toyota faces possible downgradeMoody’s Investor Service said it has put Toyota Motor and its subsidiaries on review for a possible downgrade as a result of the financial impact caused by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami and the resulting interruption of automobile and auto parts production. Moody’s is also closely watching the quake’s impact on Nissan Motor and Honda Motor.


Dish wins Blockbuster dealIn a dramatic marathon bankruptcy auction, Dish Network made a winning $320-million bid for the assets of Blockbuster, the movie-rental chain. Dish may use some Blockbuster stores to sell subscriptions to its service and is reportedly interested in some synergies from Blockbuster’s on-demand business in a potential effort to challenge Netflix.

The week ahead

  • German CPI data released Tuesday, April 12
  • JPMorgan Chase earnings due Wednesday, April 13
  • Google earnings due Thursday, April 14
  • Chinese GDP released Friday, April 15
  • US CPI data released Friday, April 15
  • Michigan consumer sentiment survey released Friday, April 15
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.


Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

--see disclaimer below--

Monday, April 4, 2011

Market Week: April 4, 2011

The Markets

An improving employment picture helped propel domestic equities higher once again despite yet another surge in oil prices. The Standard & Poor's 500 ended the week just shy of its recent high of 1343 in February, while the small-cap Russell 2000 is now at its highest level since July 2007. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq continued to lag the other indexes for the year.

Market/Index2010 ClosePrior WeekAs of 4/1Week ChangeYTD Change
DJIA 11577.51 12220.59 12376.72 1.28% 6.90%
Nasdaq 2652.87 2743.06 2789.60 1.70% 5.15%
S&P 500 1257.64 1313.80 1332.41 1.42% 5.95%
Russell 2000 783.65 823.85 846.77 2.78% 8.05%
Global Dow 2087.44 2166.09 2197.24 1.44% 5.26%
Fed. Funds .25% .25% .25% 0 bps 0 bps
10-year Treasuries 3.30% 3.46% 3.46% 0 bps 16 bps

Last Week's Headlines

  • Unemployment fell slightly in March, to 8.8%. It's the fourth straight decline from November's 9.8% and the lowest rate in two years. Nonfarm payrolls added 216,000 jobs during the month, mostly in business and professional services, health care, leisure/hospitality, and mining.
  • Consumer spending was up once again in February, the Commerce Department said, rising more than twice as much as disposable personal incomes. Spending increased by 0.7% compared to January, while incomes rose 0.3%. The savings rate also fell slightly, from 6.1% of income to 5.8%.
  • Construction spending fell 1.4% in February to the lowest level since October 1999, and was down 6.8% from the previous February.
  • Manufacturing expansion continued in March, though at a slightly slower rate than the previous month. The Institute for Supply Management said 15 industries reported expansion, while only 2--wood products and primary metals--contracted.
  • Home prices fell once again in January, when the S&P/Case-Shiller index of 20 leading metropolitan areas showed an average 1% decline from December. They are now down 3.1% from the previous January.
  • Portuguese and Greek sovereign debt got additional downgrades from Standard & Poor's, putting Portugal's rating just above junk status. And Ireland agreed to provide an additional €24 billion in financial support to four major Irish banks so bondholders would not suffer losses.

Eye on the Week Ahead

Scheduled announcements by several foreign central banks, including those of Japan, Great Britain, and the European Union, will be watched for potential interest rate hikes. And unless an agreement can be reached in advance of yet another deadline for a potential government shutdown at week's end, Washington budget battles could be of interest.

Key dates and data releases: U.S. services sector, Federal Open Market Committee minutes (4/5); wholesale trade/inventories (4/8).


Data source: Includes data provided by Brounes & Associates. All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Equities data reflect price change, not total return.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indexes listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.


-see disclaimer below--

Friday, April 1, 2011

Week in Review: U.S. markets have strong first quarter amid global uncertainty

Global economic news

U.S. economy creates 216,000 jobs; unemployment rate dips to 8.8%In a sign that the U.S. labor market may be strengthening, the nation’s companies added 216,000 jobs in March, more than the 190,000 gain projected by a number of leading economists. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the jobless rate fell again in March to a two-year low of 8.8%. The government’s jobs creation figure is even higher than the 201,000 jobs ADP Employer Services estimated were added to U.S. payrolls last month.

Home prices in U.S. drop again in JanuaryThe average price of single-family homes in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas fell 3.1% from a year ago, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. January is the sixth month in a row that U.S. home prices have fallen. Eighteen of the twenty markets covered by the survey recorded year-over-year price declines.

Consumer spending in U.S. rises in FebruaryU.S. consumer spending jumped 0.7% in February, the eighth-straight month of increases. In addition, the U.S. Department of Commerce said that personal incomes rose 0.3% for the month. Still, higher consumer prices absorbed a significant portion of the spending increase. After inflation, the increase was a more modest 0.3%.

U.S. Treasury recoups TARP fundsThe U.S. Department of the Treasury reported that money it loaned to banks during the financial crisis has been paid back. The federal bailout and its Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) is currently $6 billion in the black. Still, according to published reports, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner admitted that the federal government has “more work to do repairing the damage caused by the crisis and strengthening the recovery, but today is an important milestone in our efforts to recover taxpayer dollars as we continue winding down TARP.”

Confidence of U.S. consumers falls from three-year highThe Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell more than anticipated to 63.4 in March from a revised 72.0 in February. The sharp decline in confidence was driven by a number of global and economic factors, including rising gas and oil prices, the Japan crisis, and ongoing unrest in the Middle East.

America’s CEOs report encouraging outlook for sales, jobsThe Business Roundtable, an association of CEOs at the largest U.S. companies, reported in its first-quarter survey that nearly all its members expect sales to increase over the next six months. More than 60% expect additional investment in their businesses, and over half plan to hire more workers in the next two quarters.

U.S. businesses expand at a faster-than-expected paceThe Institute for Supply Management said its business barometer slipped to 70.6 in March from a reading of 71.2 in February. The index surpassed the 69.6 median projected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. An index reading greater than 50 indicates business expansion.

S&P downgrades Greece, PortugalRatings agency Standard & Poor’s lowered its rating of Greek sovereign debt two notches to “BB-” from “BB+,” dropping the country’s debt further into junk territory. S&P also cut Portugal’s senior debt rating by one notch to “BBB-” from “BBB.” The most recent cut follows last week’s two-notch downgrade of Portugal, which is now close to losing its investment-grade status for the first time. The outlook for both countries’ ratings remains negative, according to S&P. Greece has already accepted a three-year plan of emergency help from the European Union and International Monetary Fund. Standard & Poor’s expects Portugal to ask the IMF and the European Financial Stability Facility for a similar bailout package.

Irish banks need additional €24 billionA plan to nationalize Ireland’s banking sector may be imminent after a third round of stress tests revealed that the country’s banks will need an additional capital influx of €24 billion. The stress tests are a condition of the bailout the Irish government agreed to with the European Union and International Monetary Fund in November. With the latest bailout, the total cost of the bank rescue is approximately €70 billion. Ireland’s government also announced plans for an overhaul of the country’s banking system aimed at restoring investor confidence.

Eurozone confidence slips in MarchAn index of executive and consumer sentiment in the 17-nation euro region fell slightly to 107.3 in March from a revised 107.9 in February, the European Commission said. The drop in the confidence measure was larger than economists had forecast, as rising oil prices, Middle East unrest, and Japan’s earthquake resulted in rising pessimism for global growth prospects. February’s reading was the highest for the index since August 2007.

German unemployment falls to lowest level since 1992The number of Germans who were out of work dropped a seasonally adjusted 55,000 to 3.01 million, according to the Nuremberg-based Federal Labor Agency. That is the lowest level since June 1992. Germany’s unemployment rate fell to 7.1% in March from 7.3% the month before.


Global corporate news


Fujitsu says impact of Japan’s earthquake to be in “billions of yen”Following the country’s March 11 earthquake and tsunami, Japanese electronics conglomerate Fujitsu will have to revise its earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending this month. Fujitsu’s president said the quake’s impact on earnings “will likely exceed several billions of yen.” Fujitsu, which has resumed most of its operations in the quake-hit region, is among several major Japanese companies affected by one of the largest natural disasters in the country’s history.

Harry & David to file for bankruptcy protectionHarry & David announced it is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. In a “prearranged” deal with creditors, the specialty gourmet fruit retailer will convert its bond debt to equity and seek to raise additional capital through a new stock sale. The company has been struggling as consumers cut back in the weak economy. In January, the 75-year-old retailer reported that revenue during the critical holiday quarter fell nearly 2%, and last month the company cut approximately 100 jobs.

EBay to buy GSI Commerce for $2.4 billionEBay agreed to purchase e-commerce company GSI Commerce for $2.4 billion, extending eBay’s reach into Internet retailing and intensifying the company’s rivalry with Amazon. GSI’s core business is providing e-commerce infrastructure — e-store technology, payment processing, fulfillment, marketing, and customer service — for more than 180 top brands and retailers.

GE to purchase stake in ConverteamGeneral Electric agreed to pay $3.2 billion in cash for a controlling stake inConverteam, the power conversion company. The acquisition of the French company, which serves a variety of industries including oil and gas companies, is the latest in a string of deals totaling $11 billion over the past six months aimed at expanding GE’s energy business. They have also acquired Dresser Inc., Wellstream Holdings, Lineage Power Holdings, and John Wood Group’s well support division.

Qihoo goes publicChinese Internet company Qihoo 360 went public this week on the New York Stock Exchange, and the company’s shares immediately doubled at the start of trading. The Internet software company, which sells antivirus software and security services, raised more than $175 million in its IPO. Qihoo also makes the second-most-used Internet browser in China, behind Microsoft’s Internet Explorer.

Galaxy reports profit dropGalaxy Entertainment Group said its net profit fell 22% last year in part because of one-time accounting and valuation adjustments. The casino operator, controlled by the family of tycoon Lui Che Woo, reported that net profit totaled HK$898.46 million last year, down from HK$1.15 billion in 2009. Galaxy is moving ahead with plans to open a HK$14.9 billion casino-resort in Macau’s lucrative Cotai area.


The week ahead

  • Institute for Supply Management’s Services Index data released Tuesday, April 5
  • China’s Consumer Price Index released Wednesday, April 6
  • U.S. initial jobless claims data released Thursday, April 7
  • U.S. consumer credit data released Thursday, April 7
  • Bank of England announcement due Thursday, April 7
  • Canada’s Labour Force Survey results due Friday, April 8

Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News;Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.

--see disclaimer below--

Monday, March 28, 2011

MARKET WEEK: MARCH 28, 2011

The Markets

Investors brushed aside disappointing housing data and debt concerns in Europe to push domestic equities higher for the week. The Dow and S&P 500 regained 12,000 and 1,300 respectively and both small caps and the tech-heavy Nasdaq saw new enthusiasm. That renewed interest in stocks helped send the price of 10-year Treasuries back down as yields rose.
Market/Index2010 ClosePrior WeekAs of 3/25Week ChangeYTD Change
DJIA11577.5111858.5212220.593.05%5.55%
Nasdaq2652.872643.672743.063.76%3.40%
S&P 5001257.641279.211313.802.70%4.47%
Russell 2000783.65794.66823.853.67%5.13%
Global Dow2087.442093.632166.093.46%3.77%
Fed. Funds.25%.25%.25%0 bps0 bps
10-year Treasuries3.30%3.28%3.46%18 bps16 bps

Last Week's Headlines

  • New-home sales plummeted almost 17% in February, hitting the lowest point since record-keeping began in 1963, the Commerce Department said. Sales also were down 28% from the previous February. Hardest hit were sales in the Northeast, now down 50% from a year ago, and the Midwest, down almost 41% in the same time.
  • Sales of existing homes also fell sharply in February, according to the National Association of Realtors®. The 9.6% decline followed three straight months of increases. Though they were 26.4% higher than last July's low, sales were still down 2.8% from February 2010. All-cash purchases hit a record 33% of all sales, and distressed homes sold at a discount represented 39% of total sales.
  • Durable goods orders fell in February, according to the Commerce Department. The 0.9% drop was the fourth decline in five months. New orders for capital goods (other than defense-related equipment and aircraft), which indicate the level of business spending, were down 1.3%.
  • Despite another downgrade of the country's sovereign debt, the Portuguese parliament rejected a proposed combination of tax increases and budget cuts, potentially increasing the need for a bailout from fellow European Union members. The country's prime minister, who proposed the austerity package, resigned and a new government will need to be formed. Also, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of 30 Spanish banks, citing as one reason pressures from a recent deterioration in that country's sovereign debt, which was downgraded earlier this month.
  • The final figure for Q4 gross domestic product (GDP) showed the economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.1%, higher than previously thought and higher than Q3's 2.6%. For all of 2010, the economy grew almost 3%, a vast improvement from 2009's decline of 2.6%. After-tax corporate profits were up 20.4% in 2010 compared to 2009's 5.1% increase.

Eye on the Week Ahead

Investors will watch to see if the market continues to recover from its recent bruising and extends its upward march. A data-intensive Friday will see new employment, construction, and manufacturing indicators.
Key dates and data releases: personal income/spending (3/28); home prices (3/29); unemployment/payrolls, construction spending, U.S. manufacturing (4/1).

Data source: Includes data provided by Brounes & Associates. All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Equities data reflect price change, not total return.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indexes listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.

--see disclaimer below--