Saturday, April 17, 2010

Week in Review: U.S. stocks pass psychological highs as earnings and data show recovery

U.S. economic news

More signs of consumer spending
Retail sales surged 1.6% in March. The increase, which is the largest in four months, is encouraging some analysts to upgrade their assessments of the economy's ability to generate a sufficient number of jobs to sustain the recovery. Companies are said to have benefited from an earlier Easter, better weather, and a pickup in hiring. Recovery in the retail area is seen as an indication that the expansion is no longer solely dependent on manufacturing gains. In March manufacturing activity rose 0.9% as stronger sales and inventories gave a boost to factory production. Housing starts rebounded to a 16-month high in March, a pickup suggests that the burst of stronger home sales has persuaded a few builders to ramp up construction again. Starts climbed to an annual rate of 626,000 for the month of March, up 1.6% from February.


Jobless claims rise again amid shaky recovery in labor market
The U.S. Department of Labor reported that jobless claims rose by 24,000 to 484,000 in the week of April 10. This week U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said that the labor market would be slow to recoup the losses it sustained since the recession began in December 2007.

U.S. and global corporate news

On Friday the Securities and Exchange Commission charged Goldman Sachs & Co. with defrauding investors by misstating and omitting key facts about a financial product tied to subprime mortgages. The charge is one of the biggest moves by authorities in response to the financial crisis of 2007 to 2008. Goldman Sachs' stock price fell sharply after the announcement.


Volcanic eruption in Iceland disrupts flights across Europe
A volcanic explosion in Iceland forced authorities to impose one of the most extensive bans on commercial flights since World War II. Fears that volcanic particles could choke aircraft engines prompted the grounding of flights across Europe. After the eruption on Wednesday of the Eyjafjallajokull, the volcano spat a plume of ash that spread southeast across the continent. Many airline stocks have slid on the news because service will be disrupted into the weekend.


Tech industry shows signs of recovery
The technology industry showed more signs of recovery this week as tech spending by companies and consumers picked up. Evidence of the rebound was seen as Google's profit rose 37% after a 23% jump in revenue. The gains suggest a recovery in online advertising. AMD reported a 34% increase in revenue to record levels, and Intel announced a quarterly profit that nearly quadrupled on a 44% jump in sales. Intel's  profit and revenue surge kicked off an upbeat earnings season for the tech companies as demand continues to improve for laptops and server systems.


Bank of America posted its first profit in three quarters; although its income fell about 10% from where it was a year ago. Profit gains in the first three months of the year were helped by a surge in investment banking revenue. Overall revenue for the quarter dropped 11%.

Charles Schwab's first-quarter profits fell by nearly one-half their levels of a year ago, as low interest rates and a trading revenue decline of nearly one-fifth affected its results.

The New Jersey Transit board of directors agreed on a 25% fare increase for trains and New York City-bound buses to help the nation's third-largest transit system close a $300 million deficit.
CSX reported that profits climbed 24% as freight volume rose 5% overall.

Global economic news

Greece requests meeting to discuss aid
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou asked for a meeting next week in Athens with the European Union, the International Monetary Fund, and the European Central Bank. Talks will begin among the groups, which agreed to back a 45 billion euro loan package. The request came this week after Greek 10-year yields rose to 7.255%, near where the rate stood before the 45 billion euro rescue package was unveiled on April 11.


China's economy grows 11.9%
China's economy expanded 11.9% in the first quarter from a year earlier. This was the biggest gain since the second quarter of 2007. Also this week, China announced plans to cool its real-estate market amid concern that an asset bubble may have been created. The announcement is thought to reflect a policy shift aimed at significantly tightening the supply of credit for home purchases.


Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The views expressed here are those of MFS®and are subject to change at any time. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, as securities recommendations, or as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS investment product. Individual securities mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and may not be relied upon as investment advice or as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; boston.com.

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Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Market Week: April 12, 2010

The Markets

Touch and go: The Dow played now-you-see-it, now-you-don't with the 11,000 mark late on Friday. Along with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, it trudged upward for the eighth time in the last nine weeks, while small caps resumed their leadership of the equities markets. After a brief foray above 4% Monday, the yield on 10-year Treasuries retreated a bit by week's end.

Market/Index
2009 Close
Prior Week
As of 4/9
Week Change
YTD Change
DJIA
10428.05
10927.07
10997.35
.64%
5.46%
NASDAQ
2269.15
2402.58
2454.05
2.14%
8.15%
S&P 500
1115.10
1178.10
1194.37
1.38%
7.11%
Russell 2000
625.39
683.98
702.95
2.77%
12.4%
Global Dow
1984.48
2039.58
2054.70
.74%
3.54%
Fed. Funds
.25%
.25%
.25%
0 bps
0 bps
10-year Treasuries
3.85%
3.96%
3.90%
-6 bps
5 bps


Last Week's Headlines
  • Pending home sales rose in February by 8.2%, and are up 17.3% from a year ago. The National Association of Realtors® said the figure may represent contracts signed in time to qualify for the April 30 deadline for the homebuyer tax credit.
  • Service businesses followed U.S. manufacturing in demonstrating higher growth in March. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its index of service businesses rose from 53% in February to 55.4%, the strongest growth since 2005. Only two of the sixteen industries surveyed--real estate rental/leasing and educational services--reported declines.
  • The SEC proposed regulations that would require companies that issue asset-backed securities, such as mortgage-backed debt instruments, to hold at least 5% of the underlying debt. The regulations also would require greater disclosure about those underlying loans, such as data about delinquencies/defaults and income verification. The new regulations are intended to reduce reliance on credit ratings and force financial institutions to share in the risks of such securities.
  • Financial heavyweights, including CEOs and former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, told a investigative panel that when 2008's credit crisis hit, they were shocked--shocked!--to learn that gambling had been going on with the mortgage-backed securities that helped precipitate the problems.
  • Treasury auctions saw healthy demand. Reassured by the Fed's disinclination to raise either the discount or target fed funds rate, buyers turned out for everything from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) to 30-year bonds.
  • An auction of Greek sovereign debt resulted in a yield over 7% and a weaker euro before other eurozone countries agree over the weekend to set up a $40 billion lending facility to help the troubled country.
Eye on the Week Ahead

It's the debut of earnings season for the first quarter, with closely watched financial and tech companies on deck this week. Investors who have been buying the rumor in anticipation of another quarter of easy comparisons with 2009 will be faced with deciding whether to continue or sell the news. Greece will hold yet another bond auction, while options expire at week's end.

Key data releases: U.S. budget deficit (4/12); international trade (4/13); consumer inflation, retail sales (4/14); industrial production, international capital flows (4/15); housing starts (4/16).

Data source: Includes data provided by Brounes & Associates. All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighted index composed of 2000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indexes listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.

Health-Care Reform: A Timeline of Benefits and Provisions


If you have been confused about the provisions
and benefits of the recent health care reform, the
video presentation will hopefully be of some help.

Health-Care Reform: 
A Timeline of Benefits
and Provisions
View the Flash Client Alert >

--SEE DISCLAIMER
BELOW--