Friday, August 5, 2011

Schnack Financial Newsletter for August 2011


Talking to Your Child about College Expectations
If you're the parent of a high school student, it's never been more important to have a grown-up conversation with your child about college expectations. While every family is different, a frank discussion should help both parties get on the same page. Talking points can include costs, grades, and course of study.
More Details
Medicare and Medicaid: Do You Know the Difference?
Medicare and Medicaid are similar-sounding programs that are easily confused, but these government-run health-care programs are quite different. Here's a look at the coverage each provides.
More Details
All about Indices
Do you know how an index works, and why understanding the nuts and bolts of a specific index can make a difference to your portfolio?
More Details
I'm buying a laptop online--will I have to pay sales tax?
Whether or not you owe sales tax on an online purchase depends on a number of factors, including whether the online company that you're purchasing your goods from has a substantial presence in your state.
More Details
Can I deduct state sales tax on my federal income tax return?
Individuals who itemize deductions on Schedule A of Form 1040 in 2011 can elect to deduct state and local general sales tax in lieu of deducting state and local income tax.
More Details

Monday, August 1, 2011

Week in Review: Unresolved U.S. debt drama weighs on markets - Week ending July 29, 2011


Global economic news


U.S. economy barely expands in second quarterThe U.S. economy grew anemically in the second quarter. Gross domestic product grew at an annualized, seasonally adjusted pace of 1.3%, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported. The rate of growth in the first quarter was revised downward, to 0.4% from the earlier estimate of 1.9%. Economists had expected the GDP to rise 1.8% in the second quarter. Consumer spending rose at an annualized 0.1% rate, its weakest level in two years.

Spain on review for debt downgradeMoody's Investors Service placed Spain's "Aa2" credit rating on review for a possible downgrade. The yield on Spain's 10-year government bond rose 1.7 percentage points to 6.136%, widening the spread between Spanish sovereign debt and similar German debt to 354.2 basis points. This underscores the financial strain the second Greek bailout package is having on other financially weak European countries.

U.S. jobless claims fall to 398,000Initial jobless claims fell by 34,000 to 398,000 for the week ended July 23, below the 400,000 level, which generally indicates an economy with overall job growth. The four-week average fell by 8,500 to 413,750.

Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index fallsThe Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index decreased to 58.8 in July, from 61.1 in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management. A reading of 60.2 had been expected. Readings above 50 indicate an expanding business sector. 

U.S. home sale contracts rise in JuneThe number of contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes surprisingly rose in June, as buyers were attracted to lower house prices and lower borrowing costs. The 2.4% rise in pending home sales followed a gain of 8.2% in May. Because of high cancellation rates, however, its difficult to gauge whether this will lead to higher home sales.

May home prices flatU.S. home prices rose in May from April but remained below year-earlier levels. The Case-Shiller index of 10 major metropolitan areas rose 1.1% and the 20-city index was 1% higher in May than a month earlier. Year to year, prices for the two indexes were down 3.6% and 4.5%, respectively.

Durable-goods orders dropDurable-goods orders fell by 2.1% in June, the second decline in three months, pointing to ongoing economic sluggishness, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

Consumer confidence gets mixed readingU.S. consumer confidence rose in July, according to the Conference Board. Its monthly index of consumer confidence rose to 59.5 from 57.6 in June. However, the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index fell to -46.8 in the week ended July 24, from a reading of -43.3 the previous week. The Reuters/University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 63.7 in July from 71.5 in June.

Eurozone confidence dipsBusinesses and consumers in the eurozone grew less confident about their prospects in July, according to the Economic Sentiment Index, the European Commission’s monthly survey of economic confidence. The measure dropped to 103.2 from 105.4 in June. It was the ESI’s fifth-straight monthly decline.

U.K. consumer confidence fallsConsumer confidence in the U.K., already sagging, fell further in July. A sentiment index fell to -30, its lowest point since April, from -25 in June and -22 a year earlier. All components of the index fell. The U.K. economy grew a meager 0.2% in the second quarter after being flat for the previous half year.

India fights inflation with higher interest rates
The Reserve Bank of India, the country’s central bank, raised interest rates by 0.5 percentage points to 8.0%, its eleventh increase since March 2010. Indian inflation reached 9.44% in June.

German inflation creeps higherConsumer prices rose 0.4% in Germany in July, and 2.4% from a year earlier. Because Germany is dependent on the European Central Bank (ECB) for monetary policy and the ECB must also watch out for weak European economies, Germany may have to accept rising inflation for now.

Global corporate news

UPS delivers higher profitsGlobal shipping firm United Parcel Service posted a 26% growth in second-quarter profit on strength in China and Europe. UPS said it expects robust profit growth on international routes in the coming months. 

European carmakers outpace American rivalsGerman auto maker Daimler and France’s PSA Peugeot-Citroen both announced healthy profit increases this week, while Ford’s profit fell andChrysler posted a loss for the second quarter. Peugeot reported a 19% rise in profit for the first half of 2011 despite the impact of the Japanese earthquake and tsunami and the production interruption that created. Daimler had a 29% rise in second-quarter net profit on thriving demand for new trucks and luxury cars in many major global markets. Ford’s profit was trimmed by spending on new-model development and higher prices for commodities. Chrysler’s loss was due to a $551 million one-time charge to repay loans to the United States and Canadian governments. 

Higher prices boost oil giants’ profitsRoyal Dutch Shell, British Petroleum, and Exxon all benefited from higher oil prices in the quarter ending June 30. BP bounced back from a $17-billion loss a year ago, stemming from a $32-billion charge to cover costs of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, to a second-quarter net profit of $5.62 billion this year. Total revenue rose 39% in the quarter. Shell’s profits rose to $8.7 billion from $4.4 billion a year ago. Exxon’s net income was $10.7 billion, up from $7.6 billion a year ago.

RIM, Nokia and Nintendo show impact of losses to AppleResearch in Motion, Nokia, and Nintendo continue to struggle in the face of very tough competition from Apple and Google in the smart phone space. Research in Motion announced a plan to cut 2,000 jobs, 11% of its workforce, as the BlackBerry maker struggles with shrinking market share of North American smart phone sales. Nokia’s debt was downgraded two notches, to "Baa2" from "A3," by Moody’s Investor Service, reflecting the sharp deterioration of Nokia’s market position. Apple and Samsung Electronics overtook Nokia for the top two positions in the global smartphone market in the second quarter, according to market research firm Strategy Analytics. Nintendo cut its profit forecast for the year ending next March by more than 80% as its 3DS hand-held player has been hurt by gamers’ appetite for games that can be played online or on smart phones, including Apple’s iPhone.

Dunkin’ Donuts serves up IPO, coffee competition to heat upThe hunger for initial public offerings continued this week, with 11 IPOs, including an offering from Dunkin’ Donuts that raised $423 million, and will promote the franchiser’s growth.

The Week Ahead
  • Pfizer, Comcast, MasterCard, Prudential, and Time Warner report earnings next week.
  • The European Monetary Union releases its unemployment report on Monday, August 1.
  • The ADP monthly employment report is released on Wednesday, August 3.
  • The Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index is released on Thursday, August 4.
  • The U.S. nonfarm payroll report and U.K. producer price index are released on Friday, August 5. 
Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The information included above as well as individual companies and/or securities mentioned should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report. Full holdings are also available on the individual Fund Profile tab in the Products and Performance section of mfs.com.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News;Financial Times; Forbes.com; CNNMoney.com; msnbc.com.