Friday, June 4, 2010

Week in Review: Stocks retreat on weaker than expected jobs data and fresh debt concerns

U.S. economic news

Payrolls rise less than expected; unemployment falls to 9.7%
Payrolls rose by 431,000 in May after a 290,000 increase in April. The gain was smaller than expected and reflected a 411,000 jump in government hiring of temporary help for the 2010 census. At the same time, the unemployment rate fell to 9.7% as Americans suspended their job searches.


Manufacturing continues rebound
U.S. manufacturing grew at a solid pace in May as export orders continued to expand rapidly. The Institute for Supply Management reported that an index of export orders within its manufacturing report rose to 62 in May, its highest level since 1988. Nonmanufacturing activity also grew in May at the same pace as it did in April. That growth is an indication that the recovery that began in the manufacturing sector has broadened.


Auto sales rise
U.S. auto sales rose for the seventh month in a row in May on the strength of big gains in most car markets.

U.S. and global corporate news

Fitch and Moody's downgrade BP
On Thursday, both Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investor Services downgraded BP's long-term credit rating one notch. The agencies warned that further downgrades are possible as the company's liability for the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico escalated into billions of dollars and it faced a criminal investigation in the United States.


May same-store sales encouraging
May same-store sales reports were encouraging despite the still uneven nature of the U.S. economic recovery. Costco Wholesale reported that same-store sales rose 9% as net sales climbed 11%. Target's same-store sales rose 1.3% and those at Saks' rose 5.8%. Sales at teen retailers American Eagle Outfitters, Buckle, and Hot Topic all fell more than expected.


Whirlpool recalls dishwashers
Whirlpool
announced a recall of 1.7 million dishwashers from its Maytag unit because of a potential fire hazard. Besides Maytag, the brands under the recall include Jenn-Air, Amana, and Crosley.


Anadarko affirms outlook; Lukoil profits double
Even though the company has suspended its deepwater drilling in the Gulf of Mexico in compliance with the U.S. government's six-month ban on drilling in the Gulf, Anadarko Petroleum affirmed its 2010 production, sales volume, and capital spending plans for the year. Russia's largest privately owned producer, OAO Lukoil Holdings, reported that its first-quarter profit more than doubled from a year ago after rising crude prices offset falling production from its western Siberian fields.

Global economic news

Credit default swaps on sovereign bonds surge
Credit default swaps on sovereign bonds surged on speculation that Europe's debt crisis is worsening after Hungary said it is in a grave economic situation after the previous government manipulated figures and lied about the state of the economy.


Bank of Canada hikes rates
Given the strength of its economy, Canada this week became the first G-7 country to raise interest rates. The Bank of Canada raised its key overnight rate by 0.25% to 0.50% but refrained from indicating that this hike was the first in a series.


Kan becomes Japanese prime minister
Naoto Kan took over as Japan's prime minister this week after lawmakers from the ruling Democratic Party of Japan elected him premier. Kan, who was finance minister in the last cabinet, said he is working on a new strategy to rein in the world's largest public debt (as a percentage of gross domestic product) and safeguard economic growth ahead of midterm elections next month.


German government agrees to block short-selling
The German government agreed to block the speculative "naked" short-selling of German stocks and eurozone sovereign bonds. Germany shocked European Union partners and markets last month when it first introduced unilateral measures.


Europe's services and manufacturing slows less than expected
Growth in Europe's service and manufacturing industries slowed at a pace that was less than initially estimated for May. The growth was welcome news as the outlook for the region's economy has dimmed in recent months with the threat of contagion from the Greek debt crisis raising concerns about the region's future.


Australian exports surge most in three decades
Australian exports, excluding farm goods, surged by the most in almost three decades in April as shipments of iron ore and coal to China pushed the trade balances to a surplus for the first time in 12 months.


Pakistan central bank head quits amid economic strain
Pakistan's central bank governor Syed Salim Raza resigned Thursday. His departure raises concerns about the nation's economic management at a time when the government is grappling with a shortage of financial resources amid rising war costs.

Stay focused and diversified
In any market environment, we strongly believe that investors should stay diversified across a variety of asset classes. By working closely with your financial advisor, you can help ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified and that your financial plan supports your long-term goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

The views expressed here are those of MFS®and are subject to change at any time. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, as securities recommendations, or as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS investment product. Individual securities mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and may not be relied upon as investment advice or as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any MFS product.

Securities discussed may or may not be holdings in any of the MFS funds. For a complete list of holdings for any MFS portfolio, please see the most recent annual, semiannual, or quarterly report.


Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Sources: MFS research; The Wall Street Journal; The Wall Street Journal Online; Bloomberg News; Financial Times; boston.com.

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June Financial Newsletter

What You Should Know about Inherited IRAs
The rules governing inherited IRAs can be complicated. If you inherit an IRA from someone who isn't your spouse, your options are fairly limited. If you inherit an IRA from your spouse, you have many more options. Here are the major issues.
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Student Loan Repayment Options
At one time, there was only one student loan repayment option--the standard 10-year plan. Now, there are an assortment of flexible repayment options to help borrowers meet their loan obligations. And it couldn't have come at a better time.
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Rolling GRATs Are Rockin'
A grantor retained annuity trust (GRAT) is an irrevocable trust into which you make a one-time transfer of property and from which you receive a fixed amount annually for a specified number of years (the annuity period). At the end of the annuity period, the payments to you stop, and any property remaining in the trust passes to the persons you've named in the trust document as the remainder beneficiaries (e.g., your children) or the property can remain in trust for their benefit.
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How have stocks performed after a recession?
It's fascinating to look at how various subsegments of the stock market have behaved relative to one another. Particularly interesting is the comparison between the performance of small-cap stocks and that of large caps after each of the last six recessions. In each case, small caps led the way out of those downturns.
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How long does it take a bear market to end?
A bear market, typically defined as an overall stock market decline of at least 20%, historically has lasted an average of a little over a year. On average, bull markets tend to last almost twice as long as bear markets.
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